Match Info

Date: 19 October 2022, Wednesday


	Zurich II		Stade Nyonnais

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.7	1.75
	3.8	3.9	1.7
	3.65	3.7	1.77
	3.82	3.8	1.83
	3.66	3.88	1.76
	3.6	3.75	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.23)	3.79 ↑ (3.63)	1.77 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zurich II
24.6%

Draw
24%

Stade Nyonnais
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

24.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

24%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zurich II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Stade Nyonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zurich II than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Zurich II - Stade Nyonnais Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zurich II won 1.

Zurich II is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stade Nyonnais is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stade Nyonnais could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stade Nyonnais will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Zurich II won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Zurich II won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zurich II
Swiss Promotion League
15.10.22	Basel II - Zurich II	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Zurich II - Cham	0:2 ✺
01.10.22	Young Boys II - Zurich II	5:1 ✺
28.09.22	Kriens - Zurich II	3:0 ✺
24.09.22	Zurich II - St. Gallen II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Promotion League
15.10.22	Stade Nyonnais - Rapperswil-Jona	0:4 ✺
01.10.22	Stade Nyonnais - Chiasso	2:1 ✺
24.09.22	Young Fellows Juventus - Stade Nyonnais	0:5 ✺
17.09.22	Basel II - Stade Nyonnais	1:4 ✺
10.09.22	Stade Nyonnais - Cham	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
21.05.22	Stade Nyonnais - Zurich II	3:1
11.09.21	Zurich II - Stade Nyonnais	0:0
16.09.20	Stade Nyonnais - Zurich II	1:1
24.08.19	Zurich II - Stade Nyonnais	0:0
23.03.19	Zurich II - Stade Nyonnais	1:0
01.09.18	Stade Nyonnais - Zurich II	3:0
10.03.18	Stade Nyonnais - Zurich II	4:2

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