Match Info

JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Ishikawa Athletics Stadium (Kanazawa)


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Shonan Bellmare

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.5	1.36	Watch
	6.5	3.8	1.43
	8.8	4.5	1.36	Watch
	8.99	4.46	1.33	Watch
	10	4.2	1.33
	7.67	4.93	1.4	Watch
	8.8	4.5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.32 ↑ (5.27)	4.41 ↑ (3.93)	1.37 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
11.1%

Draw
21%

Shonan Bellmare
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

23.6%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

22.9%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zweigen Kanazawa's form might have worsened.

Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shonan Bellmare's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zweigen Kanazawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shonan Bellmare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zweigen Kanazawa - Shonan Bellmare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yamanoi T. (G) 16. Mori S. 39. Shoji H. 55. Taira T. 5. Sakurai F. 26. Murata J. 14. Ishihara T. 29. Miyazaki K. 41. Shimada S. 17. Kato T. 11. Sugiura K.	99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 22. Oiwa K. 5. Suzuki J. 32. Matsumura S. 33. Takahashi N. 50. Fujii T. 7. Onose K. 14. Barada A. 3. Hata T. 10. Suzuki A. 11. Lukian
Substitutes
25. Kojima M. 60. Kubo K. (G) 18. Kumagai A. 4. Matsumoto D. 20. Nagakura H. 33. Okizaki H. 30. Otani H. 23. Shinomiya Y. 9. Toshida Y.	47. Kim Min-Tae 27. Luiz Phellype 16. Nemoto R. 15. Okuno K. 8. Ono K. 31. Sanada K. (G) 37. Suzuki Y. 29. Watanabe K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Kato T. ↓, Kumagai A. ↑,
37', Hata T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', Barada A. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
73', Oiwa K. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Onose K. ⚽,
80', Ishihara T. ↓, Shinomiya Y. ↑,
80', Miyazaki K. ↓, Otani H. ↑,
80', Sugiura K. ↓, Toshida Y. ↑,
89', Matsumura S. ↓, Ono K. ↑,
89', Suzuki A. ↓, Kim Min-Tae ↑,
90+2', Shimada S. ↓, Kojima M. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Kanazawa have a series of guest games.

In this match Shonan Bellmare is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kanazawa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kanazawa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
16.03.25	Gifu - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Kochi United	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Kagoshima United - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.01.25	Kashima Antlers - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLTWL
- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Shonan Bellmare - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
30.09.17	Shonan Bellmare - Zweigen Kanazawa	4:2
11.03.17	Zweigen Kanazawa - Shonan Bellmare	0:0

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