Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 6

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shonan Bellmare		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.5
	2.67	3.21	2.52	Watch
	2.52	3.46	2.76
	2.8	3.32	2.55	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.5
	2.81	3.36	2.54	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.91)	3.29 ↓ (3.37)	2.55 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shonan Bellmare
34.4%

Draw
28.6%

Vissel Kobe
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.9%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

28.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 37. Suzuki Y. 47. Kim Min-Tae 5. Suzuki J. 15. Okuno K. 50. Fujii T. 7. Onose K. 13. Hiraoka T. 3. Hata T. 10. Suzuki A. 11. Lukian	1. Maekawa D. (G) 25. Kuwasaki Y. 4. Yamakawa T. 3. Thuler 23. Hirose R. 6. Ogihara T. 7. Ideguchi Y. 13. Sasaki D. 11. Muto Y. 27. Erik 9. Miyashiro T.
Substitutes
14. Barada A. 77. Ishii H. 27. Luiz Phellype 32. Matsumura S. 16. Nemoto R. 22. Oiwa K. 8. Ono K. 31. Sanada K. (G) 33. Takahashi N.	21. Arai S. (G) 77. Gustavo Klismahn 52. Hamasaki K. 44. Hidaka M. 18. Ide H. 31. Iwanami T. 66. Matsuda R. 10. Osako Y. 30. Yamauchi K.
Coaches
Yamaguchi S.	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Erik ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Erik ⚽, Miyashiro T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hiraoka T. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Lukian ⚽, Hata T. (A),
56', Sasaki D. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
76', Suzuki A. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
77', Miyashiro T. ↓, Ide H. ↑,
88', Onose K. ↓, Matsumura S. ↑,
88', Fujii T. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
90+1', Erik ↓, Yamauchi K. ↑,
90+4', Yamauchi K. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 0.

Shonan Bellmare is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Vissel Kobe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shonan Bellmare could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ikeda M. (Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Tachi K. (Injury) Ze Ricardo (Inactive)

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Gustavo Klismahn (Injury) Sakai G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Honda Y. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20:33 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:14 (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League
08.03.25	Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Shonan Bellmare - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Shonan Bellmare - Kashima Antlers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 TTWWW
- Vissel Kobe
AFC Champions League
12.03.25	Gwangju - Vissel Kobe	3:0 ET ✺
05.03.25	Vissel Kobe - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.03.25	Vissel Kobe - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Vissel Kobe - Kyoto Sanga	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Nagoya Grampus - Vissel Kobe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
08.12.24	Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare	3:0
20.04.24	Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe	0:1
28.10.23	Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe	1:1
29.04.23	Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare	2:0
12.10.22	Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare	1:0
21.05.22	Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe	2:1
03.07.21	Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare	3:1

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