Match Info

Date: 1 March 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Águeda		Anadia

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Águeda
24%

Draw
28.8%

Anadia
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.8%

28.7%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

20.9%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águeda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Anadia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águeda than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águeda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anadia than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anadia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Recent matches Águeda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Anadia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Anadia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Anadia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Águeda won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Águeda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RD Águeda
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.02.21	Beira-Mar - Águeda	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Águeda	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Águeda - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
09.02.21	SC Espinho - Águeda	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Águeda - Vila Cortez do Mondego	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLTLW
- Anadia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.02.21	Anadia - Canelas	3:0 ✺
14.02.21	Valadares Gaia - Anadia	1:2 ✺
07.02.21	São João de Ver - Anadia	2:0 ✺
03.02.21	Beira-Mar - Anadia	0:1 ✺
31.01.21	Anadia - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.11.20	Anadia - Águeda	0:0
14.12.19	Águeda - Anadia	0:1
Club Friendly
01.08.18	Anadia - Águeda	2:0
Taça de Portugal
03.09.17	Anadia - Águeda	1:0

Águeda - Anadia