The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Águia de Marabá 47.5%
Draw 29.3%
Nacional AM 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
28.2%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
27.4%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Águia de Marabá in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Nacional AM is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Nacional AM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Águia de Marabá is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Águia de Marabá won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Águia de Marabá won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.