Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Águilas		Granada B

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.7	6.25
	1.51	3.55	6.2
	1.48	3.91	7.18
	1.53	3.63	6.3
	1.51	3.6	6.99
	1.51	3.55	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)	6.52 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
61%

Draw
25%

Granada B
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

27.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

19.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águilas's performance.

Granada B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Granada B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Águilas - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Castedo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Granada B is Relegated to

Recent matches Águilas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Granada B is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Águilas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Águilas is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Águilas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Águilas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.04.25	Linares Deportivo - Águilas	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Águilas - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Linense - Águilas	0:1 ✺
26.03.25	Águilas - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Águilas - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW
- Granada B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.04.25	Granada B - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Cadiz CF B - Granada B	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Granada B - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Estepona - Granada B	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Granada B - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.24	Granada B - Águilas	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.02.22	Águilas - Granada B	0:0
25.09.21	Granada B - Águilas	0:2

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