Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Águilas		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.1	7
	1.58	3.2	6.4
	1.61	3.15	6.71
	1.63	3.13	6.69
	1.58	3.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.77)	3.16 ↑ (3.14)	6.64 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
57.4%

Draw
28.9%

Villanovense
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

29.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

28.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águilas's performance.

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Águilas - Villanovense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Águilas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 1, Abreu ⚽,
90+11', Lillo 🟥,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Águilas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villanovense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Águilas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Águilas is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Águilas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.03.25	Linense - Águilas	0:1 ✺
26.03.25	Águilas - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Águilas - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Águilas - Orihuela	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Cadiz CF B - Águilas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWTT
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.03.25	Villanovense - Orihuela	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Cadiz CF B - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Villanovense - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Estepona - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Villanovense - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.11.24	Villanovense - Águilas	1:0

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