Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Armando Dely Valdes (Colón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Árabe Unido		Union Cocle

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.90	3.80
	1.9	2.95	3.85
	1.95	3.07	4.35
	1.98	3.12	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3	4.1
	1.9	3.51	3.72
	1.91	3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.18)	3.08 ↑ (2.8)	3.96 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Árabe Unido
47.3%

Draw
29.6%

Union Cocle
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

31.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Árabe Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Árabe Unido's performance.

Union Cocle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Cocle than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Árabe Unido - Union Cocle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mosquera K. (G) 14. Dupuy C. 94. Chara G. 24. Munoz M. 13. Cooper A. (C) 29. Valencia J. 8. Breary M. 26. Reefer O. 20. Collymore R. 99. Burgess R. 35. Jimenez J.	27. Baptista S. (G) 4. Gondola J. 24. Brathwaite R. 3. Lopez M. 25. Reluz J. 6. Guevara D. 7. Carmona M. (C) 46. Torrenegra O. 5. Hunt D. 12. De la Espada J. 19. Lynch J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Burgess R. ↓, Penalba O. ↑,
35', Lopez M. ↓, Gerald J. ↑,
37', Guevara D. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Penalba O. ⚽,
45+4', Valencia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Torrenegra O. ↓, Castillo Y. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Jimenez J. ⚽,
58', De la Espada J. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Cooper A. ⚽,
65', Collymore R. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
65', Chara G. ↓, Jimenez Abdiel ↑,
65', Valencia J. ↓, Filos J. ↑,
68', 4 - 0, Palacios A. ⚽,
74', 4 - 1, Lynch J. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Cooper A. ↓, Ceballos M. ↑,
77', Gerald J. ↓, Gallardo A. ↑,
77', Hunt D. ↓, Lashley W. ↑,
89', Dupuy C. 🟥,

Preview

Árabe Unido is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cocle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Árabe Unido could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Árabe Unido won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Árabe Unido
Liga Panamena de Futbol
04.09.26	Árabe Unido - Veraguas	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Deportivo Universitario - Árabe Unido	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Árabe Unido - Sporting San Miguelito	1:0 ✺
17.08.26	Tauro - Árabe Unido	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Árabe Unido - Alianza Panama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWWL
- Union Cocle
Liga Panamena de Futbol
06.09.26	Union Cocle - Tauro	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Union Cocle - Alianza Panama	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - Union Cocle	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Deportivo Universitario - Union Cocle	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Union Cocle - San Francisco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
22.02.26	Union Cocle - Árabe Unido	1:0

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