Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Javier Cruz (Panama City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Alianza Panama		Árabe Unido

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.92	2.78
	2.56	2.92	2.98
	2.53	3.01	2.92	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.88
	2.48	2.78	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.59)	2.85 ↓ (2.9)	2.88 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Panama
36.4%

Draw
32%

Árabe Unido
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

32.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Panama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Árabe Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Alianza Panama - Árabe Unido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez J. (G) 31. Machado A. 2. Landazuri F. 3. Ortega Y. 5. Campos O. 16. Mitre R. 22. Rodriguez M. 6. Marengo J. 7. Guardia H. 26. Garces J. 28. Alvarado J.	1. Polo R. (G) 4. Bernal D. 94. Chara G. 6. Breary M. 24. Munoz M. 20. Collymore R. 29. Valencia J. 25. De Los Rios A. 28. Filos J. 10. Palacios A. 9. Cox Goods J. C.
Substitutes
17. Asprilla J. 15. Galvez A. 43. Hidalgo J. 30. Melgar K. (G) 13. Mendoza A. 34. Palacio I. 8. Rangel G. 40. Rodriguez C. 29. Stewart A. 19. Vargas D.	7. Burgess R. 14. Dupuy C. 19. Harrison J. 16. Jimenez Abdiel 3. Llerena O. 11. McClean F. 92. Oliveira D. 18. Penalba O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Guardia H. ⚽,
18', Cox Goods J. C. 🟨,
32', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Guardia H. ⚽,
44', Valencia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', De Los Rios A. ↓, Oliveira D. ↑,
64', Cox Goods J. C. ↓, Burgess R. ↑,
64', Palacios A. ↓, Dupuy C. ↑,
64', Chara G. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
70', Guardia H. ↓, Rangel G. ↑,
70', Marengo J. ↓, Stewart A. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Oliveira D. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
82', Mitre R. ↓, Galvez A. ↑,
83', Breary M. ↓, Penalba O. ↑,
86', Galvez A. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Burgess R. ⚽,
90+6', Burgess R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.

Alianza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Árabe Unido is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Árabe Unido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Alianza has had a series of away games.

Recently, Árabe Unido has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Panama - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.85%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Árabe Unido - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.13%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Panama FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
18.04.26	Tauro - Alianza Panama	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Plaza Amador - Alianza Panama	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	UMECIT - Alianza Panama	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Herrera - Alianza Panama	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Union Cocle - Alianza Panama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTTWT
- Árabe Unido
Liga Panamena de Futbol
18.04.26	Árabe Unido - UMECIT	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Tauro - Árabe Unido	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Árabe Unido - Sporting San Miguelito	1:0 ✺
30.03.26	Árabe Unido - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Árabe Unido - Deportivo Universitario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
24.01.26	Árabe Unido - Alianza Panama	2:2
01.11.25	Alianza Panama - Árabe Unido	1:2
02.08.25	Árabe Unido - Alianza Panama	1:1
10.05.25	Alianza Panama - Árabe Unido	3:2
19.01.25	Árabe Unido - Alianza Panama	2:2
12.10.24	Árabe Unido - Alianza Panama	2:1
16.08.24	Alianza Panama - Árabe Unido	1:0

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