Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 14

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday


	Älgarna-Härnösand		Lucksta

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.5
	2.3	3.75	2.55
	2.24	3.9	2.56
	2.24	3.74	2.56
	2.2	3.8	2.4
	2.23	3.88	2.5
	2.3	3.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (3.55)	3.8 ↓ (3.85)	2.52 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Älgarna-Härnösand
40.3%

Draw
23.8%

Lucksta
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

22.9%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

22.3%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Älgarna-Härnösand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Älgarna-Härnösand's performance.

Lucksta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucksta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Älgarna-Härnösand than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Älgarna-Härnösand that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucksta than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucksta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Älgarna Härnösand - Lucksta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, Nuur H. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Turay A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
84', 0 - 3, Nian B. ⚽,
89', 0 - 4, Nassir B. (Pen),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Älgarna-Härnösand is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lucksta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lucksta is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Älgarna-Härnösand won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Älgarna-Härnösand IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
19.06.24	Lucksta - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:1 ✺
15.06.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Gottne	3:2 ✺
08.06.24	Luleå - Älgarna-Härnösand	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Team TG	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Boden - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 LWLTL
- Lucksta IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
19.06.24	Lucksta - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:1 ✺
15.06.24	Skellefteå FF - Lucksta	0:0 ✺
08.06.24	Lucksta - Kiruna	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Frösö - Lucksta	6:2 ✺
26.05.24	Lucksta - Bergnäsets	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
19.06.24	Lucksta - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:1

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