Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Épila		Borja

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.7	6.75
	1.45	3.75	7
	1.45	3.64	6.68
	1.43	3.8	7.48
	1.45	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	3.73 ↓ (4)	6.98 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Épila
62.7%

Draw
24.3%

Borja
13%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

20.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Épila have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Borja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épila than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Épila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borja than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Épila in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Borja is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Borja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Épila is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Épila to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Épila won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Épila won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Épila CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
25.02.24	Calamocha - Épila	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Huesca B - Épila	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Épila - Caspe	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Belchite - Épila	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Épila - Fraga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWWWW
- SD Borja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
25.02.24	Borja - Caspe	1:1 ✺
21.02.24	Borja - Almudévar	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Belchite - Borja	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Borja - Fraga	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Ebro - Borja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
14.10.23	Borja - Épila	0:0
01.05.22	Borja - Épila	0:1
06.01.22	Épila - Borja	1:0

Épila - Borja

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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