The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Borja 17.7%
Draw 29.3%
Caspe 53%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.7%
28.8%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.5%
28.5%
54.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Borja have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Caspe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borja than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caspe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
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Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).
Borja is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Caspe is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Borja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Caspe is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Borja won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.