The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Épila 37.3%
Draw 29.9%
Ejea 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
29.4%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
31.2%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Épila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Ejea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épila than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ejea than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 0, ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Épila is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ejea is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Épila could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Épila won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Épila won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.