Match Info

NB III - Southwest - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Érdi VSE		Szekszárd

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.71	8.32
	1.30	4.83	8.80	Watch
	1.26	4.6	11
	1.51	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.68)	4.54 ↑ (3.8)	8.33 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Érdi VSE
68.7%

Draw
20.3%

Szekszárd
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

22.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Érdi VSE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Érdi VSE's performance.

Szekszárd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Szekszárd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Érdi VSE than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Érdi VSE that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Szekszárd than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Szekszárd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Érdi VSE - Szekszárd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

Érdi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Szekszárd has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Érdi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Érdi is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Érdi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Including home match between the teams, Érdi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Érdi VSE
Hungarian NB III Southwest
09.11.25	Érdi VSE - Majosi	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Kaposvari Rakoczi - Érdi VSE	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Érdi VSE - Siofok	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Balatonlelle - Érdi VSE	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Érdi VSE - Nagykanizsa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWWW
- Szekszárdi UFC
Hungarian NB III Southwest
09.11.25	Paks II - Szekszárd	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Ferencváros II - Szekszárd	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Szekszárd - Dunaújváros	0:4 ✺
12.10.25	Pecsi - Szekszárd	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Szekszárd - MTK Budapest II	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southwest
07.04.24	Érdi VSE - Szekszárd	1:3

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