Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Étoile Carouge		Black Stars Basel

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.6
	2.25	3.5	2.65
	2.24	3.5	2.6
	2.34	3.47	2.67
	2.3	3.6	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.3)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	2.64 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Carouge
39.8%

Draw
25.8%

Black Stars Basel
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

18.2%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Black Stars Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Étoile Carouge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Black Stars Basel than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Black Stars Basel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Étoile Carouge - Black Stars Basel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 8).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Étoile won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Promotion League
27.11.21	Cham - Étoile Carouge	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	Étoile Carouge - Young Fellows Juventus	2:2 ✺
13.11.21	Étoile Carouge - Brühl	2:1 ✺
06.11.21	Breitenrain Bern - Étoile Carouge	2:0 ✺
30.10.21	Étoile Carouge - Zurich II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTWLL
- Black Stars Basel
Swiss Promotion League
27.11.21	Black Stars Basel - Sion II	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Basel II - Black Stars Basel	0:1 ✺
06.11.21	Black Stars Basel - Chiasso	0:2 ✺
30.10.21	Young Boys II - Black Stars Basel	4:2 ✺
23.10.21	Black Stars Basel - Bellinzona	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
10.04.21	Black Stars Basel - Étoile Carouge	1:0

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