Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Promotion League

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Étoile Carouge		St. Gallen II

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.4	3.7
	1.63	4.5	3.75
	1.68	4.98	3.63
	1.68	4.98	3.63
	1.65	4.15	4.01
	1.6	4.9	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)	4.65 ↑ (4.1)	3.73 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Carouge
55.8%

Draw
19.7%

St. Gallen II
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

21.4%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Étoile Carouge's form might have worsened.

St. Gallen II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Gallen II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Étoile Carouge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen II than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Gallen II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Étoile Carouge - St. Gallen II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Zbinden L. (G) 11. Simbakoli U. 22. Rufli V. 13. Zoukit N. 6. El Jaouhari M. 8. Chappuis A. 14. Hysenaj F. 25. Felder V. 24. Kursner R. 17. Vieira M. 4. Magnin M.	1. Dumrath B. (G) 20. Helg J. 5. Beeli M. 4. Schweizer Y. 2. Parente E. 27. Konietzke C. 6. Neziri B. 21. Lymann F. 11. Krasniqi A. 28. Abazi L. 22. Bahtiyari M.
Substitutes
12. Adeagbo E. 7. Correia O. 18. Diallo M. M. (G) 9. Eleouet A. 21. Fernandez R. 27. Munishi H. 20. Nvendo Ferrier V.	19. Buhl F. 10. Bytyqi E. 9. Cicek S. 31. Link J. (G) 23. Parente J. 8. Spari V. 18. Vogt A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Vieira M. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Hysenaj F. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Simbakoli U. ⚽,
45+1', Konietzke C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Vieira M. ↓, Munishi H. ↑,
46', Magnin M. ↓, Adeagbo E. ↑,
54', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
57', Bahtiyari M. ↓, Vogt A. ↑,
63', Parente E. ↓, Parente J. ↑,
63', Simbakoli U. ↓, Nvendo Ferrier V. ↑,
63', Hysenaj F. ↓, Correia O. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Schweizer Y. ⚽,
68', Lymann F. ↓, Spari V. ↑,
70', Parente J. 🟨,
89', 4 - 1, Felder V. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Promotion League
11.05.24	Étoile Carouge - Young Boys II	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Zurich II - Étoile Carouge	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Étoile Carouge - Luzern II	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Breitenrain Bern - Étoile Carouge	0:1 ✺
17.04.24	Étoile Carouge - Basel II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTWT
- St. Gallen II
Swiss Promotion League
11.05.24	Bavois - St. Gallen II	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Paradiso - St. Gallen II	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	St. Gallen II - Kriens	3:0 ✺
17.04.24	St. Gallen II - Rapperswil-Jona	3:4 ✺
13.04.24	Young Boys II - St. Gallen II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
19.11.23	St. Gallen II - Étoile Carouge	0:2
19.04.23	Étoile Carouge - St. Gallen II	3:0
15.10.22	St. Gallen II - Étoile Carouge	3:2
24.04.16	St. Gallen II - Étoile Carouge	3:0
03.10.15	Étoile Carouge - St. Gallen II	2:1
21.03.15	Étoile Carouge - St. Gallen II	0:0

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