Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade du 4 Août (Ouagadougou) 🌤️ ...


	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou		Vitesse

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.57	2.76	2.94	Watch
	2.58	2.78	2.99
	2.55	2.7	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.55)	2.75 (2.75)	2.98 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
35.8%

Draw
33.4%

Vitesse
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.6%

33%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

34%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Vitesse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Gorou A. ⚽, Sidibe M. L. P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 0 - 2, Bagaya T. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).

Étoile Filante has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vitesse is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vitesse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile Filante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile Filante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vitesse	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14

Last Results with these Odds

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.63%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso Premier League
15.03.26	ASFA Yennenga - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Rail Club du Kadiogo	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	RC Bobo Dioulasso - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	USFA - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Rahimo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWWLT
- Vitesse FC Bobo-Dioulasso
Burkina Faso Premier League
13.03.26	Vitesse - AS SONABEL	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	ASF Bobo Dioulasso - Vitesse	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Vitesse - ASFA Yennenga	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Sporting Cascades - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Vitesse - RC Bobo Dioulasso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Burkina Faso Premier League
02.11.25	Vitesse - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	3:1
22.02.25	Vitesse - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	4:2
04.02.23	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Vitesse	0:2
03.04.22	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Vitesse	3:1
28.02.21	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Vitesse	1:2

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Vitesse