Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 5

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Hásteinsvöllur (Vestmannaeyjar)

Referee: Thordarson T. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Besta Deildin 1
World	Onefootball


	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar		Vestri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.4
	1.92	3.8	3.5	Watch
	1.89	4.07	3.66
	1.9	3.99	3.67
	1.91	3.5	3.4
	1.9	3.8	3.68	Watch
	1.92	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.21)	3.79 ↑ (3.75)	3.54 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
49.1%

Draw
24.6%

Vestri
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

24.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ÍBV Vestmannaeyar's performance.

Vestri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vestri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ÍBV Vestmannaeyar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vestri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Vestri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ÍBV (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zapytowski M. (G) 23. Kristinsson A. 2. Magnusson S. 5. Edeland M. 26. Fridriksson F. 8. Gunnarsson B. 6. Tomic M. 25. Hilmarsson A. (C) 45. Baxter B. 22. Heidarsson O. 67. Sowe O.	12. Smit G. (G) 77. Fall S. 2. Hansen M. (C) 32. Sigurbjornsson E. 40. Kjeldsen G. 3. Kralj A. 8. Jonsson D. 4. Gbadamosi F. 28. Pedersen J. 10. Montiel D. 7. Tufegdzic V.
Substitutes
31. Arnarsson H. (G) 3. Fridriksson A. 10. Hjaltested S. 21. Hlynsson B. 28. Magnusson H. 44. Mitrovic J. 4. Nokkvason N. 11. Thorvardarson V. 30. Valor V.	17. Einarsson G. 29. Grauberg K. 6. Hauksson G. 5. Phete T. 1. Schubert B. (G) 23. Songani S. 15. Svavarsson G.
Coaches
Arnason T.	Lamude D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Fridriksson F. 🟨,
18', Tomic M. 🟨,
18', Fall S. 🟨,
34', Smit G. 🟨,
34', Heidarsson O. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Tufegdzic V. ⚽, Hansen M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Montiel D. ↓, Hauksson G. ↑,
67', Hilmarsson A. ↓, Valor V. ↑,
67', Kristinsson A. ↓, Hlynsson B. ↑,
74', Baxter B. ↓, Thorvardarson V. ↑,
77', Fall S. ↓, Phete T. ↑,
79', Magnusson S. 🟨,
85', Tufegdzic V. ↓, Grauberg K. ↑,
87', Sowe O. ↓, Hjaltested S. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Edeland M. 🟨,
90+4', Kralj A. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Hauksson G. ⚽, Jonsson D. (A),
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

ÍBV is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, ÍBV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.04.25	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:3 ✺
24.04.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Fram	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
17.04.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.04.25	Afturelding - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	0:0 ✺
07.04.25	Vikingur Reykjavik - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWWTL
- IF Vestri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.04.25	Vestri - Breiðablik	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Akraness - Vestri	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Vestri - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Valur - Vestri	1:1 ✺
Icelandic League Cup
25.03.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Vestri	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
19.09.21	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Vestri	1:2
27.06.21	Vestri - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	0:3
03.10.20	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Vestri	1:3
22.07.20	Vestri - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	3:3
Icelandic League Cup
08.03.20	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Vestri	3:2

Upcoming Matches