Match Info

Icelandic Cup - Final

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Laugardalsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)


	Valur		Vestri

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.75
	1.53	4.05	4.75	Watch
	1.55	4.16	5.53
	3.41	2.91	2.31	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5
	1.53	3.92	5.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.49)	3.76 ↓ (4.32)	4.6 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
52.7%

Draw
26%

Vestri
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.7%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valur's form might have worsened.

Vestri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Valur - Vestri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Valur (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +2 - Vestri (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Vestri (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Valur (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Valur (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Valur will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Valur (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Vestri (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Schram F. (G) 6. Antonsson B. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 12. Haraldsson T. 8. Jonsson J. 22. Lundemo M. 4. Nakkim M. 20. Omarsson O. 9. Pedersen P. 10. Sigurdsson K. 14. Skoglund A.	12. Smit G. (G) 4. Gbadamosi F. 6. Hauksson G. 8. Hlynsson A. 40. Kjeldsen G. 3. Kralj A. 10. Montiel D. 28. Pedersen J. 5. Phete T. 32. Sigurbjornsson E. (C) 7. Tufegdzic V.
Substitutes
25. Agustsson S. (G) 17. Heimisson L. 33. Hoti A. 7. Johannsson A. 13. Kristjansson K. 11. Larusson S. 23. Palsson A. 21. Palsson J. 16. Stefansson S.	19. Duah E. 77. Fall S. 22. Gardarsson E. 2. Hansen M. 13. Jonthorsson E. 20. Omarsson O. I. 1. Schubert B. (G) 29. Selven J. 15. Svavarsson G.
Coaches
Tufegdzic S.	Lamude D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Omarsson O. 🟨,
14', Sigurbjornsson E. 🟨,
18', Montiel D. 🟨,
20', Antonsson B. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Pedersen J. ⚽, Montiel D. (A),
45+3', Kjeldsen G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Phete T. 🟨,
64', Antonsson B. ↓, Larusson S. ↑,
64', Pedersen P. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
66', Nakkim M. 🟨,
72', Phete T. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
77', Skoglund A. ↓, Johannsson A. ↑,
84', Sigurdsson K. ↓, Heimisson L. ↑,
87', Kralj A. ↓, Svavarsson G. ↑,
87', Tufegdzic V. ↓, Duah E. ↑,
90+5', Eyjolfsson H. 🟨,
90+6', Hauksson G. ↓, Gardarsson E. ↑,
90+6', Montiel D. ↓, Selven J. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Laugardalsvöllur.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Valur is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Valur won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.08.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur	4:1 ✺
10.08.25	Valur - Breiðablik	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Akraness - Valur	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Valur - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.07.25	Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLW
- IF Vestri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.08.25	Stjarnan - Vestri	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Vestri - Fram	3:2 ✺
06.08.25	Afturelding - Vestri	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Vestri - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Breiðablik - Vestri	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.07.25	Vestri - Valur	0:2
06.04.25	Valur - Vestri	1:1
25.08.24	Valur - Vestri	3:1
22.06.24	Vestri - Valur	1:5
Icelandic League Cup
23.02.23	Valur - Vestri	3:0
Icelandic Cup
15.09.21	Vestri - Valur	2:1
Icelandic League Cup
16.02.20	Valur - Vestri	5:0

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