Match Info

Superettan - Round 10

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Referee: Buqa F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 6, Max, TV4 Play


	Umeå		Örgryte

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.2	1.7	Watch
	4.1	3.9	1.68
	4.48	3.99	1.7	Watch
	4.55	4.08	1.73
	4.41	4.01	1.7	Watch
	4	3.75	1.7
	4.39	4.1	1.7	Watch
	4.48	3.99	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (2.78)	4 ↑ (3.6)	1.7 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
21.7%

Draw
23.4%

Örgryte
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

26.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

25.9%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umeå's form might have worsened.

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Örgryte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umeå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Örgryte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	8.8%	85.3%

Umeå - Örgryte Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Umeå will win (votes: 1 - 3%). Örgryte will win (votes: 29 - 87.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Örgryte: 76.8% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Örgryte (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Örgryte will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Örgryte (votes: 19 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Uppenberg M. (G) 5. Hedenquist J. 15. Westin T. 28. Persson D. 19. Olsson T. 24. Marklund L. 12. Yeboah E. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 7. Vikgren L. 10. Bjorgolfsson E. 9. Haga M. H.	44. Gustafsson H. (G) 3. Azulay J. 6. Dyrestam M. 5. Styffe C. 15. Dahlqvist I. 7. Vindehall C. 8. Mujanic A. 19. Andreasson A. 14. Paulson D. (C) 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.
Substitutes
16. Bangala D. 11. Dejene M. 26. Ekman D. 1. Eriksson P. (G) 8. Hedstrom J. 17. Martiatu Nordeman A. 32. Voilas J.	28. Ahmed I. 10. Barkroth N. 20. Karlsson M. 17. Keita M. 21. Kenndal W. 12. Samuelsson L. 24. Svensson W.
Coaches
Baath-Sjoblom A.	Holmberg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Christoffersson N. ⚽, Mujanic A. (A),
21', Hedenquist J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Yeboah E. ⚽, Vikgren L. (A),
43', 2 - 1, Bjorgolfsson E. ⚽, Vikgren L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Azulay J. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
46', Andreasson A. ↓, Svensson W. ↑,
50', Persson D. 🟨,
63', Dyrestam M. 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Christoffersson N. ⚽, Mujanic A. (A),
69', Persson D. ↓, Ekman D. ↑,
69', Marklund L. ↓, Martiatu Nordeman A. ↑,
69', Paulson D. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Christoffersson N. ⚽, Vindehall C. (A),
75', Bjorgolfsson E. 🟨,
79', Mujanic A. 🟨,
80', Keita M. 🟨,
80', Bjorgolfsson E. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
80', Lindmark S. ↓, Hedstrom J. ↑,
83', 3 - 3, Voilas J. ⚽, Vikgren L. (A),
87', Vindehall C. ↓, Kenndal W. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Umeå has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Örgryte is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Örgryte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Örgryte is the team to beat.

We predict that Örgryte will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Umeå won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
22.05.25	Kalmar - Umeå	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Umeå - Utsikten	1:3 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.05.25	Umeå - Kubikensborgs	1:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
10.05.25	Sandviken - Umeå	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Umeå - Landskrona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
21.05.25	Örgryte - Sandviken	4:0 ✺
16.05.25	Örgryte - Varbergs BoIS	5:1 ✺
12.05.25	Landskrona - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Örgryte - Falkenberg	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	Östersund - Örgryte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
05.12.20	Örgryte - Umeå	1:1
13.08.20	Umeå - Örgryte	2:2

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