Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 16

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Lystlunden Stadion (Horten)


	Ørn-Horten		Grei

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	3.4
	1.7	4.15	3.61
	1.31	5.76	7.01	Watch
	1.71	4.25	3.59
	1.75	4.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.97)	4.45 ↑ (4.1)	4.17 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
56.7%

Draw
20.9%

Grei
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

22.3%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

21.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ørn-Horten's performance.

Grei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grei might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ørn-Horten that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grei than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grei could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ørn Horten - Grei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Krawiec A. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Opthun O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ørn-Horten will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ørn-Horten won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ørn-Horten won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
09.08.25	Fredrikstad 2 - Ørn-Horten	4:2 ✺
03.08.25	Ørn-Horten - Odd 2	4:1 ✺
26.07.25	Drøbak-Frogn - Ørn-Horten	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Ørn-Horten - Kvik Halden	1:1 ✺
23.06.25	Sarpsborg 2 - Ørn-Horten	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWTL
- Grei
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
09.08.25	Grei - Ready	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Lokomotiv Oslo - Grei	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	Grei - Fram Larvik	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Flint - Grei	3:1 ✺
22.06.25	Grei - Stabæk 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
05.04.25	Grei - Ørn-Horten	2:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
12.10.19	Ørn-Horten - Grei	2:2
27.04.19	Grei - Ørn-Horten	1:2

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