Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 25

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lystlunden Stadion (Horten) 🌤️ ...


	Ørn-Horten		Råde

	1	X	2
	4.10	4.10	1.58
	4.1	4.15	1.55
	4.08	4.38	1.56
	4.17	4.41	1.6	Watch
	4	4.3	1.54
	4.08	5.1	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.02)	4.41 ↓ (4.59)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
22%

Draw
20.4%

Råde
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.3%

19.9%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

19.5%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ørn-Horten's form might have worsened.

Råde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Råde's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ørn-Horten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Råde than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Råde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ørn Horten - Råde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Hamde D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 6th and 3rd).

Ørn-Horten has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Råde shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Råde could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Råde is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Rade	25	14	4	7	86:41	45	46
6	Orn	25	11	5	9	46:39	7	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
19.10.26	Lyn 2 - Ørn-Horten	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Ørn-Horten - Lillehammer	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ørn-Horten - Oppsal	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Sandefjord 2 - Ørn-Horten	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Ørn-Horten - Sarpsborg 2	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Råde IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
12.10.26	Sandefjord 2 - Råde	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Lyn 2 - Råde	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Råde - Lillehammer	1:5 ✺
12.09.26	Råde - Elverum	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Råde - Gjøvik-Lyn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWW

Ørn-Horten - Råde