The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Čelik Zenica 13.5%
Draw 23.2%
Zrinjski Mostar 63.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.1%
25.7%
54.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.7%
25.2%
55.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Čelik Zenica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Čelik Zenica's form might have worsened.
Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zrinjski Mostar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čelik Zenica than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Čelik Zenica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zrinjski Mostar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Čelik Zenica - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sutkovic A. (G) 88. Gogic F. 4. Horic K. (C) 14. Hrvanovic A. 99. Masic A. 8. Mohedano A. 17. Omic A. 15. Popovic M. 24. Sabanovic H. 18. Sarkic O. 7. Sijamija D.
18. Karacic G. (G) 77. Abramovic K. 99. Bilbija N. (C) 10. Cuic M. 25. Cuze M. 17. Ilic A. 20. Ivancic A. 12. Mamic P. 6. Savic I. 15. Stapic K. 19. Vranjkovic M.
Substitutes
28. Amoah J. 22. Babic E. 11. Faraj S. 2. Hodzic A. 20. Jenjic B. 6. Masetic A. . Savic V. (G) 21. Sivac E. 19. Smajlovic N. 5. Vardo H. 9. Vidic D.
42. Cavar M. 40. Curdo B. . Cvetkovic S. 21. Grbic V. 27. Jakovljevic S. 11. Juric T. 5. Lagumdzija D. 80. Ljukovac H. 24. Palic T. 31. Subaric Z. (G) 8. Vidovic I.
Coaches
Regoje B.
Rozman S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Sijamija D. 🟨,
33', Gogic F. 🟨,
37', Gogic F. 🟨,
41', Abramovic K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 0 - 1, Bilbija N. ⚽,
58', Hrvanovic A. ↓, Faraj S. ↑,
58', Sarkic O. ↓, Amoah J. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Ilic A. ⚽,
69', Sabanovic H. ↓, Vidic D. ↑,
69', Masic A. ↓, Sivac E. ↑,
76', Popovic M. ↓, Smajlovic N. ↑,
76', Cuic M. ↓, Lagumdzija D. ↑,
76', Abramovic K. ↓, Vidovic I. ↑,
76', Vranjkovic M. ↓, Grbic V. ↑,
78', Grbic V. 🟨,
82', Stapic K. 🟨,
86', Cuze M. ↓, Cvetkovic S. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, Bilbija N. ⚽,
90+2', Bilbija N. ↓, Ljukovac H. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 6th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Čelik Zenica won 0.
Čelik Zenica has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Zrinjski shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Zrinjski holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Čelik Zenica has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:37 (averaging 0.8:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Čelik Zenica against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:17 goals (averaging 1:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Zrinjski
11
10
0
1
27:7
20
30
7
Celik Zenica
11
2
4
5
11:15
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Zrinjski Mostar - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 54.18%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Bosnia And Herzegovina
Croatia
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Sutkovic A. (G) 
Mohedano A. 
Sarkic O. 
Abramovic K. 
Amoah J. 
Faraj S. 
Savic V. (G) 
Juric T. 
Rozman S. 
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