Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Čukarički		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.5	1.44
	5.75	4.33	1.44
	6.5	4.5	1.47	Watch
	7.13	4.59	1.47
	7.42	4.65	1.45
	6	4.6	1.44
	6.35	4.65	1.45
	6.4	4.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.63 ↑ (5.01)	4.57 ↑ (4.25)	1.45 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Čukarički
14.3%

Draw
20.7%

Ferencvárosi
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

22.1%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

21.5%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Čukarički has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferencvárosi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čukarički than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	3.4%	79.3%

Čukarički - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Filipovic N. (G) 21. Stankovic N. 15. Subotic L. 4. Kovacevic B. 3. Tosic N. (C) 14. Sissoko S. 77. Kovac S. 10. Ivanovic D. 45. Miladinovic I. 11. Adzic L. 91. Cvetkovic M.	90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 27. Cisse I. 22. Abena M. 99. Ramirez C. 18. Siger D. 15. Abu Fani M. 16. Zachariassen K. 50. Marquinhos 72. Pesic A. 20. Traore A.
Substitutes
9. Adetunji S. 1. Belic N. (G) 81. Carapic V. (G) 70. Jankovic A. 18. Jovanovic V. 72. Ndiaye I. 47. Nikcevic B. 17. Singh L. 8. Stojanovic L. 65. Stojanovic L. 7. Tomovic S.	44. Aaneba I. 5. Besic M. 21. Botka E. 17. Civic E. 13. Esiti A. 55. Katona B. 76. Lisztes K. 23. Paszka L. 63. Radnoti D. (G) 1. Varga A. (G)
Coaches
Matic I.	Stankovic D.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Čukarički is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ferencvárosi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferencvárosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferencvárosi is a favorite.

There will not play in Čukarički: Mario Z. (Injury)

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Halmai A. (Knee Injury) Varga B. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Čukarički won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Čukarički
Serbian Superliga
26.11.23	Radnički Niš - Čukarički	0:2 ✺
22.11.23	Napredak Kruševac - Čukarički	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Partizan - Čukarički	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Čukarički - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
05.11.23	Čukarički - Bačka Topola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
26.11.23	Puskás Academy - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Ferencvárosi - Videoton	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Ferencvárosi - Genk	1:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
05.11.23	Kecskemeti - Ferencvárosi	2:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
01.11.23	Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy	4:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Ferencvárosi - Čukarički	3:1

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