Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Čukarički		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	11	6	1.25
	9.5	6	1.23
	11	6	1.25	Watch
	11.68	6.31	1.26
	11.68	6.31	1.25
	10.75	6.45	1.23
	11	6.8	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.94 ↑ (7.57)	6.27 ↑ (5.08)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Čukarički
8.7%

Draw
15.1%

Fiorentina
76.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.3%

18.4%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

18.1%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Čukarički has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čukarički than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Čukarički - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Filipovic N. (G) 47. Nikcevic B. 22. Vranjes O. 4. Kovacevic B. 3. Tosic N. (C) 21. Stankovic N. 14. Sissoko S. 77. Kovac S. 10. Ivanovic D. 9. Adetunji S. 72. Ndiaye I.	53. Christensen O. (G) 70. Pierozzi N. 4. Milenkovic N. 16. Ranieri L. 3. Biraghi C. (C) 5. Bonaventura G. 8. Lopez M. 32. Duncan A. 11. Ikone J. 18. Nzola M. 7. Sottil R.
Substitutes
88. Arsovic M. 1. Belic N. (G) 91. Cvetkovic M. 18. Jovanovic V. 45. Miladinovic I. 2. Rogan V. 23. Samurovic F. (G) 17. Singh L. 8. Stojanovic L. 65. Stojanovic L.	6. Arthur Melo 72. Barak A. 77. Brekalo J. 37. Comuzzo P. 10. Gonzalez N. 19. Infantino G. 99. Kouame C. 38. Mandragora R. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 26. Mina Y. 65. Parisi F. 1. Terracciano P. (G)
Coaches
Matic I.	Italiano V.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Čukarički is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fiorentina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Čukarički could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fiorentina is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Čukarički: Mario Z. (Injury) Subotic L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Dodo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Castrovilli G. (Knee Injury) Kayode M. (Leg Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Čukarički won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Čukarički
Serbian Superliga
05.11.23	Čukarički - Bačka Topola	0:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
01.11.23	Radnički Beograd - Čukarički	0:1 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
29.10.23	Čukarički - Vojvodina	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Fiorentina - Čukarički	6:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
20.10.23	Novi Pazar - Čukarički	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWTLL
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
05.11.23	Fiorentina - Juventus	0:1 ✺
30.10.23	Lazio - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Fiorentina - Čukarički	6:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.10.23	Fiorentina - Empoli	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Napoli - Fiorentina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Fiorentina - Čukarički	6:0

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