Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Gent

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	3
	2.5	3	2.87
	2.35	3.1	3.25
	2.55	3.05	2.95
	2.58	3.14	3.06
	2.49	3.18	2.93
	2.55	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.32)	3.1 ↓ (3.12)	3.02 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
37.8%

Draw
30.7%

Gent
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.7%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

31.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.9%	24.3%	10.8%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%). Gent will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 49.5% – 80.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Başakşehir has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (45%), a small chance of semis (14%), a very small chance of final (4%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Gent has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (55%), a chance of semis (24%), a small chance of final (9%), a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has quality 52, importance 62, match rating 57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Başakşehir is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gent is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Gent: Lemajic D. (Muscle Injury) Tissoudali T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Gent: Godeau B. (Ankle Injury) Marreh S. (Muscle Injury) Okumu J. (Calf Injury) Torunarigha J. (Knock)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
12.03.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Gent - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.03.23	Alanyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
02.02.23	Kayserispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Konyaspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLLW
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.03.23	Zulte Waregem - Gent	2:6 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Gent - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.03.23	Gent - Anderlecht	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Club Brugge - Gent	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.02.23	Gent - Qarabağ Agdam	2:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Gent - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1

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