Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 40

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Club Brugge		Gent

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	5.25	Watch
	1.43	4.85	6.3	Watch
	1.45	5.4	6.19
	1.51	5.22	5.05	Watch
	1.44	4.8	5.5
	1.49	5.31	5.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.32)	5.1 ↓ (5.88)	5.69 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
64.9%

Draw
18.5%

Gent
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

16.2%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

16.1%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club Brugge's form might have worsened.

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Brugge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	13.6%	50%

Club Brugge - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Gent will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mignolet S. (C) 41. Siquet H. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 65. Seys J. 11. Sandra C. 20. Vanaken H. 9. Forbs C. 10. Vetlesen H. 8. Tzolis C. 7. Tresoldi N.	33. Roef D. (C) 4. Hashioka D. 57. Volckaert M. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 29. Duverne J. 22. Lopes L. 17. Delorge-Knieper M. 27. De Vlieger T. 20. Araujo T. 24. Hong Hyun-Seok 7. Kanga W.
Substitutes
67. Diakhon M. 14. Meijer B. 19. Nilsson G. 15. Onyedika R. 64. Sabbe K. 58. Spileers J. 25. Stankovic A. 81. Vanden Driessche A. (G) 17. Vermant R.	56. Diallo M. 19. Diop M. 15. Ito A. 37. Kadri A. 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G) 59. Seck E. H. 11. Sonko M. 54. Vernemmen H.
Coaches
Leko I.	De Mil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Forbs C. ⚽, Tzolis C. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Tresoldi N. ⚽, Vetlesen H. (A),
41', 3 - 0, Tresoldi N. ⚽, Sandra C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
46', Ordonez J. ↓, Stankovic A. ↑,
53', 4 - 0, Tresoldi N. ⚽, Vetlesen H. (A),
57', De Vlieger T. ↓, Ito A. ↑,
57', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
62', Forbs C. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
63', Siquet H. ↓, Sabbe K. ↑,
67', Lopes L. 🟨,
69', Duverne J. ↓, Vernemmen H. ↑,
70', Vanaken H. ↓, Spileers J. ↑,
76', Lopes L. ↓, Kadri A. ↑,
78', Mignolet S. ↓, Vanden Driessche A. ↑,
79', 5 - 0, Tzolis C. ⚽, Tresoldi N. (A),

Preview

Brugge is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 4.

Brugge has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gent has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brugge is the team to beat.

There will not play in Gent: Ayinde A. (Injury) De Meyer G. (Shoulder Injury) Essaouabi H. (Inactive) Paskotsi M. (Muscle Injury) Samoise M. (Knee Injury) Skoras M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Gent: Dean M. (Inactive) Goore H. (Injury)

We predict that Brugge will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brugge won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Gent: 10.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22
2	Club Brugge KV	8	7	0	1	19:4	15	21

Last Results with these Odds

Club Brugge - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 72.38%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.05.26	KV Mechelen - Club Brugge	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	5:0 ✺
09.05.26	Club Brugge - Sint-Truidense	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Anderlecht - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Gent - Club Brugge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWWW
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.05.26	Gent - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Sint-Truidense - Gent	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gent - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Gent - Club Brugge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.04.26	Gent - Club Brugge	0:2
21.12.25	Club Brugge - Gent	2:1
31.08.25	Gent - Club Brugge	1:1
01.05.25	Club Brugge - Gent	4:1
20.04.25	Gent - Club Brugge	0:5
01.03.25	Gent - Club Brugge	1:1
22.09.24	Club Brugge - Gent	2:4

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