Match Info

Super Lig - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Corendon Airlines Park (Antalya)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4


	Antalyaspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.33	6	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.25
	1.49	4.05	6.41	Watch
	1.5	4.29	7.27
	1.48	4.3	7	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.54	4.26	6.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.79)	4.19 ↑ (3.76)	6.61 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Antalyaspor
63.3%

Draw
22.5%

Kocaelispor
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antalyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antalyaspor's performance.

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kocaelispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antalyaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Antalyaspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Antalyaspor will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antalyaspor: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Antalyaspor (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Antalyaspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Kocaelispor (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yigiter A. (G) 7. Balci B. (C) 30. Giannetti L. 4. Turkmen H. 3. Paal K. 6. Dikmen S. 23. Ceesay J. 10. Omur A. 8. Safuri R. 11. Ballet S. 22. van de Streek S.	83. Oztasdelen S. (G) 22. Oguz A. (C) 2. Dijksteel A. 6. Smolcic H. 21. Haidara M. 8. Keita H. 14. Show 20. Susoho M. 99. Rivas R. 7. Agyei D. 17. Churlinov D.
Substitutes
77. Boli Y. 14. Dzhikiya G. 24. Gueye B. 20. Ilcin H. 1. Julian (G) 2. Karakoc S. 90. Kayaarasi K. 5. Ozturk B. 89. Sari V. 26. Storm N.	75. Bingol T. 16. Ceylan D. 3. Cinan M. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 19. Dursun S. 18. Gedik F. 89. Kucuk M. 94. Narin E. 98. Nonge J. 97. Ozyar A.
Coaches
Ugurlu S.	Inan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Keita H. 🟨,
38', Keita H. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
41', Oguz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ceesay J. ↓, Storm N. ↑,
46', Oguz A. ↓, Bingol T. ↑,
54', Paal K. 🟨,
61', Bingol T. 🟨,
63', Safuri R. 🟨,
64', Churlinov D. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
67', Safuri R. ↓, Boli Y. ↑,
71', Agyei D. 🟨,
71', Agyei D. ↓, Narin E. ↑,
73', Yigiter A. 🟨,
73', Balci B. 🟨,
74', Show 🟨,
77', Dikmen S. 🟨,
79', 1 - 0, Ballet S. ⚽, van de Streek S. (A),
79', Ballet S. 🟨,
87', Omur A. ↓, Ozturk B. ↑,
90+7', Rivas R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).

Antalyaspor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kocaelispor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Antalyaspor is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Antalyaspor: Yesilyurt E. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A. (Knee Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Antalyaspor: Saric D. (Injury) Sinik D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Balogh B. (Health problems) Petkovic B. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Antalyaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7:4	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antalyaspor
Turkish Super League
09.05.26	Galatasaray - Antalyaspor	4:2 ✺
03.05.26	Antalyaspor - Alanyaspor	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Göztepe - Antalyaspor	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Antalyaspor - Konyaspor	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Beşiktaş - Antalyaspor	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
09.05.26	Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Kasımpaşa - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Kocaelispor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Galatasaray - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
19.12.25	Kocaelispor - Antalyaspor	2:1
Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Antalyaspor - Kocaelispor	3:1
Club Friendly
15.07.21	Antalyaspor - Kocaelispor	0:1

Upcoming Matches