Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Lomzy (Lomza)


	ŁKS Łomża		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.60	3.25
	1.85	3.50	3.35
	2.00	3.71	3.07
	1.85	3.77	3.47	Watch
	1.97	3.30	3.10
	1.94	3.58	3.26	Watch
	2.51	3.41	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.51)	3.55 ↑ (3.41)	3.11 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łomża
45.4%

Draw
25.5%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

25.9%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

25.8%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łomża has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ŁKS Łomża's performance.

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia II Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ŁKS Łomża that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia II Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Klups T. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Konachowicz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 2, Pawelczyk O. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Łomża won 4.

Łomża is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jagiellonia II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Łomża won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Łomża won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Jagiellonia II	10	4	3	3	22:20	2	15
18	LKS Lomza	11	0	3	8	10:25	-15	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.08.26	ŁKS Łódź II - ŁKS Łomża	4:3 ✺
22.08.26	ŁKS Łomża - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Wisła Płock II - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	5:2 ✺
08.08.26	ŁKS Łomża - Weszło	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLL
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Weszło - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
19.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pelikan Łowicz	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2 ✺
07.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łomża	0:2
18.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0
22.03.25	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2
25.08.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łomża	1:4
13.04.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łomża	0:3
16.09.23	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1
03.06.17	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2

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