Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Świdniczanka Świdnik		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.52
	4.75	4.25	1.5
	4.8	4.15	1.54	Watch
	6.1	5.3	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↓ (5.82)	4.48 ↓ (4.68)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świdniczanka Świdnik
18.1%

Draw
20.4%

Chełmianka Chełm
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

19.4%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

19%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świdniczanka Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świdniczanka Świdnik than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Świdniczanka Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Tomczyk P. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 1, Wojciechowski M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Świdniczanka is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chełmianka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Chełmianka is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Świdniczanka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Świdniczanka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świdniczanka Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.08.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Star Starachowice - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Korona Kielce 2	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTLL
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.08.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Chełmianka Chełm	5:1 ✺
23.08.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Czarni Połaniec	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Wisła II Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	2:4 ✺
09.08.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.05.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:2
05.10.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	2:1
30.03.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Świdniczanka Świdnik	0:2
02.09.23	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:3

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