Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Świdniczanka Świdnik		KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

	1	X	2
	5	4.6	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 (5)	4.6 (4.6)	1.42 (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świdniczanka Świdnik
17.8%

Draw
19.4%

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

18.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Świdniczanka Świdnik have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świdniczanka Świdnik than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Czajkowski P. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Szymala J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', 1 - 2, Lepiarz D. ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, Gorski J. ⚽,
75', 1 - 4, Nowak M. ⚽,
90', 1 - 5, Morys D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Świdniczanka has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ostrowiec is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Świdniczanka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ostrowiec is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Świdniczanka won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Świdniczanka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świdniczanka Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
15.11.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Świdniczanka Świdnik	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Stal Kraśnik	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Naprzód Jędrzejów	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Świdniczanka Świdnik	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.11.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:4 ✺
07.11.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Cracovia 2	5:0 ✺
31.10.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:5 ✺
25.10.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Chełmianka Chełm	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Wisła II Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.08.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Świdniczanka Świdnik	3:1
05.04.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:2
07.09.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Świdniczanka Świdnik	1:1
03.05.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0
07.10.23	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Świdniczanka Świdnik	4:0

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