Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 25

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.04	3.43	3.1
	2.05	3.62	3.05	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.05	3.42	3.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.13)	3.41 ↓ (3.58)	3.05 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
43.9%

Draw
26.5%

Olimpia Elbląg
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

24.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Czernis M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Świt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Świt might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Świt won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Świt won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Swit Mazowiecki	11	6	2	3	20:12	8	20
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	GKS Bełchatów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Widzew Łódź II	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Legia II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWL
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.03.26	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łomża	0:3 ✺
25.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Wasilków - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wikielec	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Olimpia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.09.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1
Polish Division 2 - East
11.05.14	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2

Upcoming Matches