Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 22

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)


	GKS Bełchatów		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.6	2.42
	2.42	3.65	2.39
	2.1	4.02	2.72	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.5
	2.22	3.71	2.78	Watch
	2.7	3.55	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.7)	3.69 ↑ (3.55)	2.49 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
38.9%

Draw
24.6%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.2%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GKS Bełchatów's performance.

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

GKS Bełchatów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Wronski L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Napolov S. ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 1.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bełchatów won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Swit Mazowiecki	11	6	2	3	20:12	8	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.03.26	Legia II - GKS Bełchatów	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	GKS Bełchatów - Troszyn	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Broń Radom - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	GKS Bełchatów - Znicz Biała Piska	5:0 ✺
15.11.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wisła Płock II	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTWL
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Widzew Łódź II	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Legia II	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Troszyn - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	5:0 ✺
22.11.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wasilków	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.08.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	3:1
24.05.25	GKS Bełchatów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1
03.11.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	1:0
23.03.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	0:2
27.08.23	GKS Bełchatów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1
Club Friendly
06.02.21	GKS Bełchatów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0

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