Match Info

3. SNL - West - Round 17

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Šenčur		Tolmin

	1	X	2
	2	3.45	3.17
	1.99	3.57	3.17	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.1
	1.98	3.42	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.72)	3.46 ↓ (3.8)	3.18 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šenčur
45.6%

Draw
26.1%

Tolmin
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

23.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šenčur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Šenčur's form might have worsened.

Tolmin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolmin's recent form is better than expected.

Šenčur - Tolmin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 6).

In this match, Šenčur is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Šenčur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Šenčur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tolmin	8	4	3	1	18:10	8	15
5	Sencur	8	4	3	1	17:11	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Šenčur
Slovenian 3 SNL West
02.11.25	Šenčur - Vrhnika	3:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
29.10.25	Šenčur - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:2 ✺
Slovenian 3 SNL West
25.10.25	Dob - Šenčur	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Šenčur - Rudar Trbovlje	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Šenčur - Vipava	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW
- NK Tolmin
Slovenian 3 SNL West
02.11.25	Vipava - Tolmin	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Vrhnika - Tolmin	0:1 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
07.05.25	Triglav - Tolmin	5:0 ✺
03.05.25	Tolmin - Rudar Velenje	0:4 ✺
25.04.25	Brinje-Grosuplje - Tolmin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 3 SNL West
17.03.23	Šenčur - Tolmin	0:0
Slovenian 2 SNL
08.04.16	Šenčur - Tolmin	2:0

Šenčur - Tolmin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide