Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	Šilas Kazlų Rūda		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	3.9
	1.4	4.4	5.2
	1.45	4.2	5.37
	1.57	3.8	4.75
	1.39	4.4	6.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	4.16 ↓ (4.5)	5.23 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šilas Kazlų Rūda
60.8%

Draw
21.8%

Neptūnas
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

13.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šilas Kazlų Rūda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šilas Kazlų Rūda than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Šilas Kazlų Rūda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neptūnas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Šilas Kazlų Rūda - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ I Lyga (Promotion Group) and 9 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation Group)).

Šilas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Neptūnas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Šilas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Šilas have a series of home games.

In this match Šilas is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Šilas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Šilas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Šilas Kazlų Rūda
Lithuanian Division 2
21.08.21	Šilas Kazlų Rūda - Sūduva 2	3:1 ✺
18.08.21	Šilas Kazlų Rūda - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:4 ✺
14.08.21	Šilas Kazlų Rūda - Jonava	2:3 ✺
08.08.21	Šilas Kazlų Rūda - FA Šiauliai	2:2 ✺
04.08.21	Šilas Kazlų Rūda - Panevėžys 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTL
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
22.08.21	Neptūnas - Banga Gargždai 2	2:1 ✺
14.08.21	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:2 ✺
08.08.21	Sūduva 2 - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
04.08.21	Neptūnas - Jonava	0:2 ✺
31.07.21	FA Šiauliai - Neptūnas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
08.05.21	Neptūnas - Šilas Kazlų Rūda	1:1
Lithuanian Cup
18.06.20	Šilas Kazlų Rūda - Neptūnas	5:1

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