Match Info

Date: 13 October 2022, Thursday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Žalgiris		Pyunik

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	4.33
	1.98	3.25	3.8
	2	3.3	4
	1.95	3.3	3.9
	1.97	3.38	4.34
	1.92	3.34	4
	2	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.95)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	4.05 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
48.2%

Draw
28.5%

Pyunik
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

28.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Pyunik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pyunik than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.3%	14.3%	20.4%

Žalgiris - Pyunik Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 32 - 65.3%). Pyunik will win (votes: 10 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 52% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Žalgiris has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (2%), has a small chance of 2nd (6%), has a chance of 3rd (16%), has a small chance of knockout phase (9%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pyunik has currently - 6, has a small chance of 1st (14%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (44%), has a chance of knockout phase (43%), has a chance of round of 16 (17%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 26, importance 55, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Žalgiris is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pyunik is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Žalgiris is a favorite.

There will not play in Pyunik: Gajic Z. (Injury) Miljkovic A. (Yellow Cards)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Žalgiris won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Žalgiris won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
09.10.22	Jonava - Žalgiris	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	Pyunik - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
01.10.22	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	2:1 ET ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
27.09.22	Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Žalgiris - Riteriai	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW
- Pyunik Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
09.10.22	Ararat - Pyunik	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	Pyunik - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
01.10.22	Pyunik - Alashkert	5:1 ✺
19.09.22	Urartu Yerevan - Pyunik	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Pyunik - Slovan Bratislava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	Pyunik - Žalgiris	2:0
UEFA Europa League
25.07.13	Pyunik - Žalgiris	1:1
18.07.13	Žalgiris - Pyunik	2:0

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