Match Info

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: WWIN Liga BiH - Round 30

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo)

Referee: Sivac E. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Željezničar Sarajevo		Tuzla City

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.35	4.75	8
	1.34	4.77	8.19
	1.73	3.75	3.75
	1.34	4.84	7.9	Watch
	1.36	4.4	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.8)	4.52 ↑ (3.71)	7.01 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Željezničar Sarajevo
66.1%

Draw
20.6%

Tuzla City
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

24.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Željezničar Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Željezničar Sarajevo's performance.

Tuzla City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tuzla City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Željezničar Sarajevo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzla City than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuzla City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Željezničar Sarajevo - Tuzla City Predictions

Users Predictions: Željezničar Sarajevo will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Muftic V. (G) 22. Al Jaber A. 26. Amoah J. 23. Boljevic A. 4. Cavnic N. 6. Cocalic E. 24. Galic M. 10. Hiros A. 7. Krpic S. (C) 44. Mahmic A. 8. Mekic N.	12. Abdulahovic T. (G) 34. Cosic D. 5. Delimedjac M. 9. Hadzic I. 15. Hodzic D. 25. Kobiljar R. 10. Mehanovic M. 3. Nikic N. 11. Pantelic D. 6. Sukilovic M. (C) 30. Susic T.
Substitutes
21. Bilal A. 19. Drina A. 17. Drljo A. 99. Dujmovic F. (G) 5. Foco A. 9. Haracic D. 77. Ovcina H. 3. Radinovic S. 31. Selimovic V. 14. Stilic S. 11. Zubanovic F.	4. Bihorac F. 27. Fejzic N. (G) 18. Garcevic V. 24. Husic A. 17. Karjasevic H. 1. Lolic E. (G) 20. Osmic J. 19. Redzic H. 16. Rizvic M.
Coaches
Durbuzovic H.	Krsmanovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Nikic N. 🟨,
36', Amoah J. ↓, Ovcina H. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Krpic S. ⚽, Al Jaber A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, Krpic S. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Željezničar won 2.

Željezničar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tuzla City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Željezničar is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Željezničar won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Željezničar won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Željezničar Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
27.04.24	GOŠK Gabela - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Željezničar Sarajevo - Široki Brijeg	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Posušje - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sarajevo	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Sloga Doboj - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLTW
- FK Tuzla City
Bosnian Premier League
29.04.24	Tuzla City - Igman Konjic	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Zvijezda Brgule - Tuzla City	3:2 ✺
19.04.24	GOŠK Gabela - Tuzla City	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Tuzla City - Široki Brijeg	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Posušje - Tuzla City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
02.12.23	Tuzla City - Željezničar Sarajevo	3:0
26.08.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Tuzla City	3:1
Club Friendly
01.07.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Tuzla City	1:1
Bosnian Premier League
08.04.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Tuzla City	0:1
31.10.22	Tuzla City - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2
13.08.22	Željezničar Sarajevo - Tuzla City	4:2
30.04.22	Tuzla City - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:0

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