Match Info

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: PREMIJER LIGA BIH - ROUND 11

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Željezničar Sarajevo		Zvijezda Brgule

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.4	6.75
	1.36	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.51	7.24
	1.39	4.51	7.24
	1.33	4.5	7.5
	1.33	4.6	7.6
	1.39	4.5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	4.54 ↑ (4.2)	7.23 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Željezničar Sarajevo
67.2%

Draw
20.2%

Zvijezda Brgule
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

15.3%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Željezničar Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Zvijezda Brgule has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Željezničar Sarajevo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvijezda Brgule than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zvijezda Brgule could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Željezničar Sarajevo - Zvijezda Brgule Predictions

Users Predictions: Željezničar Sarajevo will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Muftic V. (G) 26. Amoah J. 6. Cocalic E. 97. Cosic M. 19. Drina A. 7. Krpic S. (C) 8. Mekic N. 77. Ovcina H. 44. Rustemovic E. 15. Sehic B. 14. Stilic S.	1. Jelovac M. (G) 9. Blazevic E. 90. Danoski Z. 3. Jevremovic M. 88. Maksimovic N. (C) 23. Milovanovic G. 65. Sapic S. 6. Tomanovic S. 20. Vadze G. 18. Velickovic S. 77. Vukoja B.
Substitutes
22. Al Jaber A. 18. Biber E. 17. Drljo A. 30. Dubackic D. 11. Gasal H. 9. Haracic D. 33. Jasarevic I. 5. Kosoric A. 1. Mulalic A. (G) 27. Sabic D. 21. Turanjanin N.	83. Damjanovic L. (G) 26. Djordjevic K. 8. Matic K. 55. Ponjevic D. 7. Raca A. 17. Racic F. 5. Ristanovic P. 27. Saliman K. 30. Sanneh B. 11. Savic M. 14. Subasic S.
Coaches
Basic N.	Jurasovic M.

Preview

Željezničar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zvijezda Brgule has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Željezničar have a series of guest games.

In this match Željezničar is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Željezničar won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Željezničar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Željezničar Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
08.10.23	Sarajevo - Željezničar Sarajevo	3:0 ✺
02.10.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Široki Brijeg	2:1 ✺
Bosnian Cup
28.09.23	Sloboda Tuzla - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
24.09.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Željezničar Sarajevo	2:1 ✺
20.09.23	Sloga Doboj - Željezničar Sarajevo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Zvijezda Brgule
Bosnian Premier League
07.10.23	Zvijezda Brgule - Tuzla City	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Sarajevo - Zvijezda Brgule	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Zvijezda Brgule - Posušje	0:2 ✺
17.09.23	Široki Brijeg - Zvijezda Brgule	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Borac Banja Luka - Zvijezda Brgule	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
29.02.20	Zvijezda Brgule - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:3
25.09.19	Željezničar Sarajevo - Zvijezda Brgule	6:0
17.03.19	Željezničar Sarajevo - Zvijezda Brgule	1:0
28.10.18	Željezničar Sarajevo - Zvijezda Brgule	0:1
12.08.18	Zvijezda Brgule - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:3

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