Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luanda 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday


	Aaron Gil Garcia		Robert Strombachs

	1	2
			Watch
	4.63	1.17
	4.60	1.15	Watch
	4.4	1.17	Watch
	4.5	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.47)	1.16 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aaron Gil Garcia
20.4%

Robert Strombachs
79.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

74%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aaron Gil Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aaron Gil Garcia's form might have worsened.

Robert Strombachs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Robert Strombachs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aaron Gil Garcia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aaron Gil Garcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Robert Strombachs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aaron Gil Garcia - Robert Strombachs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gil Garcia is ranked ATP: 1314. Strombachs is ranked ATP: 382.

Gil Garcia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Strombachs's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Strombachs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Strombachs is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aaron Gil Garcia
ITF Tournaments
25.11.25	Andrei Kunitsyn - Aaron Gil Garcia	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Aaron Gil Garcia - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Aaron Gil Garcia - Daniel Domingos	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Aaron Gil Garcia - Calvin Mueller	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Aaron Gil Garcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Robert Strombachs
ITF Tournaments
26.11.25	Yannik Kelm - Robert Strombachs	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Mikail Alimli	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Etienne Donnet - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Cyril Vandermeersch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL

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