Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday


	Abedallah Shelbayh		Mees Rottgering

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	1.89	1.81
	2.09	1.75
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	2.04	1.72
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.93	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.62)	1.76 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abedallah Shelbayh
47.2%

Mees Rottgering
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abedallah Shelbayh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abedallah Shelbayh's form might have worsened.

Mees Rottgering has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mees Rottgering's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abedallah Shelbayh than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abedallah Shelbayh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mees Rottgering than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mees Rottgering, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Abedallah Shelbayh - Mees Rottgering Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rottgering will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shelbayh is ranked ATP: 269. Rottgering is ranked ATP: 411.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rottgering may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Abedallah Shelbayh - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.8%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abedallah Shelbayh
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Joshua Sheehy	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
26.07.26	Martin Damm - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Michael Zheng - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
24.06.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL
- Mees Rottgering
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Bryce Nakashima - Mees Rottgering	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Fajing Sun - Mees Rottgering	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.07.26	Mees Rottgering - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Mees Rottgering - Timo Legout	Legout T. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWL?

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