Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Fajing Sun		Mees Rottgering

	1	2
	2.20	1.60
	2.14	1.63
	2.31	1.65
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.14	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.99)	1.62 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
42.2%

Mees Rottgering
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Mees Rottgering has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fajing Sun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mees Rottgering than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mees Rottgering, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fajing Sun - Mees Rottgering Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 273. Rottgering is ranked ATP: 473.

Sun is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rottgering is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rottgering may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rottgering will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Rottgering will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Fajing Sun - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Fajing Sun - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Fajing Sun - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Fajing Sun - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Fajing Sun - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mees Rottgering
ITF Tournaments
19.07.26	Mees Rottgering - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Mees Rottgering - Timo Legout	Legout T. Retired ✺
17.07.26	Mees Rottgering - Evan Bynoe	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Mees Rottgering - Lev Seidman	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Mees Rottgering - Russell Lokko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 L?WWW

Fajing Sun - Mees Rottgering: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide