Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bistrita, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bistrita 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Abel Forger		Petr Nesterov

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Abel Forger
39.3%

Petr Nesterov
60.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abel Forger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abel Forger than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Forger is ranked ATP: 916. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 439.

Forger is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nesterov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Forger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nesterov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abel Forger
ITF Tournaments
08.05.25	Chirag Duhan - Abel Forger	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Cezar Stefan Bentzel - Abel Forger	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Abel Forger - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Lucas Gerch - Abel Forger	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Abel Forger - Jack Loge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLWW
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
08.05.25	Lorenzo Angelini - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Kasra Rahmani - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Karl Poling - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

Abel Forger - Petr Nesterov