Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Store, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Adam Jilly		Lautaro Agustin Falabella

	1	2
	1.98	1.72
	2	1.77
			Watch
	2	1.73
	2.01	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.24)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Jilly
46.4%

Lautaro Agustin Falabella
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Jilly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Lautaro Agustin Falabella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Jilly than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adam Jilly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Agustin Falabella than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lautaro Agustin Falabella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Jilly is ranked ATP: 1254. Falabella is ranked ATP: 747.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Jilly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Falabella will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Jilly
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Luca Staeheli - Adam Jilly	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Adam Jilly - Emanuel Ivanisevic	1:2 ✺
12.06.25	Adam Jilly - Jeremy Gschwendtner	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Aleksandr Braynin - Adam Jilly	1:2 ✺
05.06.25	Theo Papamalamis - Adam Jilly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWL
- Lautaro Agustin Falabella
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Lautaro Agustin Falabella - Viacheslav Bielinskyi	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Lautaro Agustin Falabella - Noah Schlagenhauf	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Lautaro Agustin Falabella - Simeon Stankovic	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Lautaro Agustin Falabella - Igor Kudriashov	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Benjamin Torrealba - Lautaro Agustin Falabella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWL

Adam Jilly - Lautaro Agustin Falabella: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide