Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Adam Walton		Naoki Nakagawa

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Adam Walton
85.5%

Naoki Nakagawa
14.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

80.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Nakagawa (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakagawa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Walton is ranked ATP: 81. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 727.

Walton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Walton is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Walton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Adam Walton	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
11.01.26	Adam Walton - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Adam Walton - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
06.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Athens
02.11.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Masamichi Imamura - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Kody Pearson - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Jumpei Yamasaki	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Yuma Tobe	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.10.25	Taketo Takamisawa - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

ITF Tournaments
09.02.23	Adam Walton - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2

Adam Walton - Naoki Nakagawa