Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Adam Walton

	1	2
	1	41	Watch
	1.01	18	Watch
	1	18.65	Watch
	1.01	34
	1.01	9.7	Watch
	1	31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	25.39 ↓ (29)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
96.2%

Adam Walton
3.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

96.6%

3.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Adam Walton Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Walton will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -9.5 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 27.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Walton is ranked ATP: 79.

Walton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcaraz Garfia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - the odds 1.01 are the expected chance of winning is 96.63%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
10.01.26	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
08.12.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW
- Adam Walton
ATP Adelaide
11.01.26	Adam Walton - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Adam Walton - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
06.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Athens
02.11.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
17.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Adam Walton	2:0

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