Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lexington, KY, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Adhithya Ganesan		Shunsuke Mitsui

	1	2
	2.83	1.39
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.66	1.43	Watch
	2.66	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.09)	1.41 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adhithya Ganesan
34.2%

Shunsuke Mitsui
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adhithya Ganesan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adhithya Ganesan's form might have worsened.

Shunsuke Mitsui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shunsuke Mitsui's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adhithya Ganesan than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adhithya Ganesan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shunsuke Mitsui than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shunsuke Mitsui, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Adhithya Ganesan - Shunsuke Mitsui Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mitsui will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ganesan is ranked ATP: 556. Mitsui is ranked ATP: 849.

Ganesan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mitsui is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ganesan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mitsui will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Mitsui will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adhithya Ganesan
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Andre Steinbach	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Gustavo Albieri - Adhithya Ganesan	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Nicolas Zanellato - Adhithya Ganesan	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Cyril Vandermeersch	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Adhithya Ganesan - William Nolan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW
- Shunsuke Mitsui
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Benjamin Willwerth - Shunsuke Mitsui	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Shunsuke Mitsui - Dhakshineswar Suresh	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Shunsuke Mitsui - Luca Pow	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Kuang Qing Xu - Shunsuke Mitsui	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Viktor Markov - Shunsuke Mitsui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

Adhithya Ganesan - Shunsuke Mitsui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide