Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 16 (Serbia), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 August 2024, Friday


	Admir Kalender		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	2.42	1.48
	2.45	1.49
	2.5	1.49	Watch
	2.42	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.17)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Admir Kalender
38%

Andrey Chepelev
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Admir Kalender has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Admir Kalender than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Admir Kalender, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrey Chepelev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Admir Kalender - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kalender is ranked ATP: 1690. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 707.

Kalender is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Chepelev is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kalender could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chepelev will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Admir Kalender
ITF Tournaments
29.08.24	Admir Kalender - Dinko Dinev	2:0 ✺
28.08.24	Luka Pavlovic - Admir Kalender	1:2 ✺
21.08.24	Admir Kalender - Louis Tessa	Kalender A. retired ✺
08.08.24	Fernando Cavallo - Admir Kalender	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Admir Kalender - Juan Pablo Paz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 51.8 WW?LW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
29.08.24	Vladan Tadic - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Alen Mujakic - Andrey Chepelev	Mujakic A. retired ✺
13.08.24	Lorenzo Lorusso - Andrey Chepelev	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Andrey Chepelev - Maximilian Oezcelik	2:1 ✺
10.07.24	Andrey Chepelev - Ignacio Parisca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 W?LWL

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