Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 6 (Greece), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Adria Soriano Barrera		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
	1.15	4.6
	1.06	6.8
	1.06	7.14	Watch
	1.14	5
	1.04	9.05
	1.06	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.46)	6.57 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adria Soriano Barrera
85.8%

Lorenzo Carboni
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adria Soriano Barrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adria Soriano Barrera's performance.

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Carboni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adria Soriano Barrera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adria Soriano Barrera - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 440. Carboni is ranked ATP: 888.

Soriano Barrera is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carboni is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Soriano Barrera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Soriano Barrera will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adria Soriano Barrera
ITF Tournaments
15.11.24	Emilien Demanet - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Jonas Pelle Hartenstein - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Jiri Cizek - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
08.11.24	Remy Bertola - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
07.11.24	Alexander Donski - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW
- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
15.11.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Francois Musitelli	2:1 ✺
14.11.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Christos Antonopoulos	2:1 ✺
13.11.24	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.10.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Lorenzo Carboni	Sachko V. walkover ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Kasra Rahmani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWW?L

Adria Soriano Barrera - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide