Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion 3 (Greece), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday


	Alexander Donski		Adria Soriano Barrera

	1	2
	3.9	1.2
	4.1	1.19
	4.21	1.2
	4.15	1.19	Watch
	4.33	1.2
	4.23	1.19	Watch
	4.1	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (2.63)	1.19 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Donski
22.4%

Adria Soriano Barrera
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Donski's form might have worsened.

Adria Soriano Barrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adria Soriano Barrera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Donski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adria Soriano Barrera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Donski is ranked ATP: 739. Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 442.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Donski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Soriano Barrera is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Donski
ITF Tournaments
06.11.24	Nikolaos Chatziavraam - Alexander Donski	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Alexander Donski - Alberto Barroso Campos	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.24	Guy Den Ouden - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
09.09.24	Alexander Donski - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLWW
- Adria Soriano Barrera
ITF Tournaments
06.11.24	Orel Kimhi - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Adria Soriano Barrera - Cannon Kingsley	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.24	Justin Engel - Adria Soriano Barrera	Engel J. walkover ✺
29.09.24	Pablo Aunion - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLL?W

Alexander Donski - Adria Soriano Barrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide