Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MEDELLIN (COLOMBIA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday


	Adria Soriano Barrera		Tristan McCormick

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.82	1.94
	1.81	2.02
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.76	1.98	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.64)	1.96 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adria Soriano Barrera
52.5%

Tristan McCormick
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adria Soriano Barrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Tristan McCormick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Adria Soriano Barrera - Tristan McCormick Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Soriano Barrera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

McCormick is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

McCormick could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adria Soriano Barrera
ATP Challenger
27.06.23	Adria Soriano Barrera - Nicolas Zanellato	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Adria Soriano Barrera - Nino Serdarusic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.05.23	Adria Soriano Barrera - Adrien Gobat	0:2 ✺
27.05.23	Adria Soriano Barrera - Hady Habib	1:2 ✺
26.05.23	Alexis Gautier - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW
- Tristan McCormick
ATP Challenger
27.06.23	Tristan McCormick - Guido Andreozzi	2:1 ✺
26.06.23	Tristan McCormick - Keenan Mayo	2:1 ✺
26.06.23	Tristan McCormick - Kelsey Stevenson	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Gonzalo Lama - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Miguel Sarria - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLW

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